Foresight of the Geopolitical Crisis in the Middle East after September 11, 2001

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحد علوم و تحقیقات

2 farabi university

3 University of Tehran

Abstract

The Middle East is currently at the center of a wide range of geopolitical crises, with the political structure outlined in the Sykes-Picot agreement reportedly undergoing serious change. The intervention of the great powers in managing the crisis of terrorism in the Middle East through war, especially after 9/11, has necessitated the rooting out of the geopolitical crisis in the Middle East and the foresight of its crisis. Accordingly, the present study aims to predict the course of geopolitical crises in the Middle East after 9/11. The research method was performed qualitatively using interview tools and grounded theory that the sample population of 10 people was questioned.The results of the study showed that the most important factor in the formation of geopolitical crises in the Middle East is the existence of abundant energy and resources that the great world powers are always trying to control.One of the most important underlying factors, the corruption of rentier governments and the most important interfering factors are the competition of regional and supra-regional powers for the development of their hegemony. Finally, the theoretical model of the research showed the foresight of the crisis in the Middle East at three levels: level 1 indicates the deepest type of geopolitical crisis, level 2 indicates the creation of a geopolitical crisis and military war, but at level 3, the geopolitical crisis and There will be no military war, because the level of overlap of theoretical variables does not reach the level of impact of the geopolitical crisis.

Keywords

Political Sociology of Iran
Volume 3, Issue 4 - Serial Number 12
February 2021
Pages 2813-2827

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